Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-15 1233.504791 1408.208523 1604.856484 1843.770930 2127.747564 2456.421498 2868.407881
2025-06-22 940.097483 1156.706871 1424.375407 1783.958451 2261.312581 2883.267952 3771.810621
2025-06-29 785.672376 1011.853195 1307.964033 1732.087943 2337.615986 3192.903762 4533.682628
2025-07-06 674.202247 899.145004 1207.075144 1671.010972 2373.446542 3434.201480 5234.324403
2025-07-13 625.759221 862.312927 1200.103514 1734.439013 2591.530433 3975.818996 6525.927047
2025-07-20 575.901289 815.539704 1170.083199 1754.728919 2740.759380 4431.265158 7787.888890
2025-07-27 538.217129 781.327855 1152.893470 1789.773858 2916.092184 4961.621479 9336.273849
2025-08-03 504.158862 748.274822 1132.432891 1814.494276 3074.797439 5491.313710 11043.998062
2025-08-10 481.675822 730.592304 1133.751626 1875.169315 3307.442598 6212.041245 13413.909933
2025-08-17 455.879931 704.656420 1117.883026 1901.870893 3478.144825 6843.079337 15804.432046
2025-08-24 430.193547 676.290079 1094.446588 1910.583704 3613.018961 7426.153692 18301.901721
2025-08-31 405.195726 646.750621 1065.693309 1904.775196 3715.579009 7958.389883 20883.098627
2025-09-07 387.836667 629.921679 1059.816204 1947.108859 3940.140053 8868.790269 25146.971172
2025-09-14 357.803308 588.342550 1004.657420 1882.634595 3912.800575 9136.799846 27476.100395
2025-09-21 332.174561 552.566402 956.910449 1827.301890 3896.811543 9432.042534 30079.018700
2025-09-28 307.947867 517.511510 907.400073 1762.097407 3845.695360 9617.656434 32391.239514
2025-10-05 300.794334 513.487433 917.846885 1829.805848 4142.311466 10918.625737 40237.890411
2025-10-12 289.255230 500.214555 908.517324 1851.472451 4323.525049 11926.047466 47621.413349
2025-10-19 280.133086 490.833553 906.134104 1888.904180 4556.008985 13187.990080 57484.197750
2025-10-26 270.616869 479.931632 899.525572 1915.314812 4763.605544 14445.371787 68699.539533
2025-11-02 265.042000 476.384703 908.073142 1980.161156 5099.871256 16322.158812 86172.938193
2025-11-09 256.757089 466.742867 902.540907 2008.708515 5332.464626 17899.891138 103974.033787
2025-11-16 247.522985 454.503032 890.205389 2018.024927 5506.918206 19319.473823 122938.537220